Gut Check

There's plenty of NBA action for you to check out tonight. One match-up you'll probably take a closer look at is the Bucks/Raptors game.
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Milwaukee's 8-25 on the road this season with a -7.7 point scoring differential (PSD) in those games. The Bucks are 5-1 against the spread (ATS) for their last 6 in Toronto, but they're only 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs a team with a winning home record.
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Toronto's 20-8 at home this season with a +5 PSD. The Raptors are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games vs a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
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Bottom line... the Raptors have the best ATS record in the league so far this season, at 36-21-1, in large part because they're not a public team. However, the Bucks have managed to string together two straight wins after losing 7 straight before that, and the road team has covered the spread in 8 of the last 11 meetings between these two teams. If you don't have a strong feeling on this one either way, look for some line movement this afternoon to possibly sway you.

Gut Check

You've still got plenty of time to make your way onto this week's NBX Fantasy Leaderboard. One game you'll probably be checking out is tonight's Cavs/Mavs game. (Line: Mavs -9).
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Cleveland is 6-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 7 road games, but are only 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs a team with a winning % above .600.
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Dallas is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, but have only covered the spread in 1 of their last 5 games vs a team with a winning record.
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Bottom line... the Mavs are hot and the Cavs have their Center Ilgauskas back. If you're leaning towards Dallas, you'll be happy to hear that Cleveland's 1-5 ATS in their last 6 in Dallas, and that the favorite is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 between these two teams.

Gut Check

Having a rough one? Here's some carnage to cheer you up. Now that you're back in the zone, let's take a closer look at one of tonight's match-ups... the Warriors/Bulls game. (Line: Bulls -11).
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Golden State is 6-21 and 11-16 against the spread (ATS) on the road so far this season, and has a -10.3 point scoring differential (PSD) in those games. The Warriors are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 between these two teams but only managed to cover the spread once in their last 5 in Chicago, and are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 0 days of rest.
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Chicago on the other hand is 22-8 and 18-12 ATS at home and has a +10.2 PSD in those games. The Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 but have only covered the spread in 3 of their last 11 games as a favorite.
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Bottom line... it's easy to see why the Bulls are such a heavy favorite tonight, especially since the home team is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 between these two teams. However, the Warriors haven't lost to the Bulls by more than 9 points since March of 2003 and are coming off of a painful 21 point loss to the Bucks last night. As we get closer to game time, we might see some line movement that will entice us one way or the other.

Gut Check

One match-up you'll probably be checking out tonight is the Hornets/Cavs game. (Line: Cavs -6).
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New Orleans is 16-6 against the spread (ATS) in their last 22 games, and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs a team with a winning home record.
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Cleveland's 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs a team with a losing road record.
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Bottom line... the home team's 9-3 ATS in the last 12 between these two teams and the Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 in Cleveland. However, the Hornets have been exceeding expectations so far this season going 32-24 ATS. If you're leaning towards the Cavs, you'll probably wanna commit early before the LeBron lovers move this line.

Gut Check

Congrats to those of you who kicked some serious ass this past week and made it onto the NBX Fantasy Sportsbook Leaderboard. For those that didn't, you're in luck cuz it's a brand new week. Since you'll wanna get off to a strong start, let's take a closer look at the Hawks/Mavs game... Could this be a mismatch made in heaven? (Line: Mavs -14).
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Atlanta has a -6.8 point scoring differential (PSD) on the road this season, and a -9.8 PSD in their last 5 games. The Hawks are 7-2  against the spread (ATS) in their last 9 road games, but have only covered the spread in 2 of their last 7 playing on 0 days of rest.
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Dallas on the other hand has a +12.4 PSD at home, and a +11.6 PSD in their last 5 games. The Mavs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 day of rest, and are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.
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Bottom line... the Mavs are a heavy home favorite for good reason. However, giving any team in the NBA 14 points is sketchy. This line will more than likely move between now and game time, and could end up looking a little more enticing depending on which way you're currently leaning.

Gut Check

If you're not on the NBX Fantasy Sportsbook Leaderboard yet for this week, today could be your day. One match-up you'll probably be checking out is tonight's Rockets/Magic game. (Line: Rockets -2).
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Houston's 3-2 in their last 5 with a +5.4 point scoring differential (PSD) in those games. The Rockets are 15-12 against ths spread (ATS) on the road so far this season, and 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 1 day of rest.
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Orlando on the other hand is 1-4 in their last 5, and have a -7.2 PSD in those games. The Magic have covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 games playing on 1 day of rest, and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs a team with a winning record.
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Bottom line... both of these teams are coming off of a loss and will be hungry for a win. However, if you're a T-Mac fan, you'll be happy to hear that the Rockets are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 between these two teams, and have covered the spread in their last 4 in Orlando.

Gut Check

Between college hoops and NBA action, you'll be pretty busy today. One match-up you'll probably wanna take a closer look at is tonight's Nuggets/Mavericks game. (Line: Mavs -10).
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Denver has a +1.3 point scoring differential (PSD) so far this season and are 4-12 against the spread (ATS) in their last 16 games vs a team with a winning % above .600.
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Dallas on the other hand has a +7.5 PSD this season and are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.
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Bottom line... the home team has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 between these two teams, but ten's still a big number. However, since both of these teams have high profile players on them, look for this line to move a little bit as we get closer to game time. So, depending on which way you're currently leaning, you could be in luck.

Gut Check

Since you haven't watched too many Ivy League teams play this season, you'll probably be checking out tonight's NBA action. One match-up you might wanna put under the magnifying glass is the Pacers/Raptors game. (Line: Raptors -5).
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Indiana has won their last three games and are 13-12 against the spread (ATS) on the road so far this season. However, the Pacers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 day of rest, and have only managed to cover the spread in 3 of their last 12 in Toronto.
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Toronto's coming off of a 1 point loss at home to the Cavs but are 17-8 ATS at home so far this season, and have covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 vs Indiana.
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Bottom line... the Pacers won the last game between these two teams, in Indiana, 102-84. Bosh scored 26 in that game and has averaged 25.7ppg at home so far this season while O'Neal scored 21 in their last meeting, and has averaged 19.5ppg on the road this year. Whichever way youre leaning, don't be surprised if the line stabilizes early since neither of these teams get a lot of attention, and it's no coincedence that they're both stellar ATS (TOR: 33-20-1; IND: 29-22-2).

Gut Check

We've only got three NBA games on tap tonight, but there's a ton of NCAAB action to consider today. One game you'll probably be checking out is tonight's Duke/Clemson game. (Line: Pick).
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Duke appears to be back on track after their four game losing streak, with recent wins over Boston College and Georgia Tech. The Blue Devils only have a +4.3 point scoring differential (PSD) on the road this season, but have a +6.1 PSD against shared opponents with Clemson.
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Clemson on the other hand, has only won 1 of their last 6 games, but have an impressive +9.5 PSD overall and an even better +11 PSD at home. However, those stellar PSD numbers are tempered by their -0.4 PSD against opponents that Duke has also faced this year.
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Bottom line... Duke's generally known as a public team, can be a sketchy play, and only managed to beat Clemson by 2 points at home a month ago. However, they're 14-11 ATS so far this season, 5-4 on the road, and 6-5 against common opponents. In comparison, Clemson's 12-13 ATS, 5-9 at home and 4-8 against common opponents. This will be a line to watch as we get closer to game time to see if the books entice you by giving the team you're leaning towards a couple of points.